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Red32
241216.7
322011.2
449513.3
Blue57
358615.1
292824.0
198329.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367302060801001201403257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#28
16.70.6
15.915.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
1983
#32
29.00.6
26.125.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4495
#22
13.30.6
13.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
2928
#10
24.00.6
24.323.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3220
#23
11.20.6
11.811.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
3586
#41
15.10.7
16.716.0
Auto
Teleop
End