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Red62
260526.2
408923.3
358820.7
Blue12
454211.4
403010.6
326817.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552802040801001206212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2605
#23
26.20.6
18.118.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
3268
#29
17.21.7
10.38.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
23.30.6
16.917.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
4542
#48
11.43.6
11.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3588
#14
20.71.0
15.316.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
4030
#62
10.61.6
12.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End