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Red25
378611.3
290314.6
321917.6
Blue47
292718.0
339328.0
366211.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403302060801001202547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3219
#47
17.60.7
17.216.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
3393
#20
28.01.0
14.115.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2903
#34
14.61.1
12.010.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
2927
#32
18.01.0
9.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3786
#42
11.31.1
9.38.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3662
#60
11.51.0
10.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End