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Red35
45486.5
446916.9
418014.3
Blue3
477212.3
9497.4
455912.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3029020406080100353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#45
16.96.9
16.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
4559
#50
12.65.3
12.67.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4180
#33
14.30.5
10.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
4772
#12
12.35.0
12.37.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4548
#56
6.53.5
6.510.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
949
#40
7.42.1
9.77.6
Auto
Teleop
End