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Red37
433424.3
477212.3
358820.7
Blue35
403819.5
430410.6
291017.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443602060801001203735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#43
24.30.5
15.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
4038
#15
19.50.2
15.114.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3588
#14
20.70.5
16.315.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
2910
#53
17.30.1
16.916.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4772
#12
12.30.5
11.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
4304
#49
10.60.2
5.14.9
Auto
Teleop
End