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Red20
29427.7
418014.3
32186.6
Blue39
403819.5
446111.4
357610.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35290204060802039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4180
#33
14.31.2
14.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
4038
#15
19.50.7
14.915.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2942
#59
7.71.2
11.810.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
4461
#17
11.40.7
9.19.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3218
#63
6.61.2
8.37.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
3576
#44
10.30.7
6.06.8
Auto
Teleop
End