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Qual 492013 Seattle Regional
Red154
339328.0
189934.7
457933.6
Blue133
198348.1
446916.9
451228.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5969050100150154133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1899
#4
34.77.7
22.0→29.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 13.4
1983
#3
48.13.3
36.4→39.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4579
#5
33.67.7
21.1→28.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.0
4512
#13
28.65.5
15.2→20.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3393
#20
28.07.7
17.9→25.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.1
4469
#45
16.95.5
15.5→21.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—