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Qual 622013 Seattle Regional
Red12
177813.8
38137.0
32236.4
Blue6
339328.0
446111.4
456013.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33580100150126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#27
13.82.1
17.6→15.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.1
3393
#20
28.04.0
25.7→21.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3813
#35
7.02.1
10.3→8.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.6
4560
#38
13.64.0
17.7→13.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3223
#41
6.42.1
9.3→7.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.1
4461
#17
11.44.0
11.1→7.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—