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Qual 752013 Seattle Regional
Red24
456013.6
29427.7
358820.7
Blue16
366211.5
446916.9
32370.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48320204060801001201402416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3588
#14
20.71.7
21.2→19.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.8
4469
#45
16.91.5
21.0→19.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4560
#38
13.61.8
13.7→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.1
3662
#60
11.51.5
11.1→9.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2942
#59
7.71.8
10.4→8.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.0
3237
#64
0.61.4
2.2→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—