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Red32
403010.6
366211.5
430410.6
Blue62
418014.3
446111.4
457933.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225304060801001201403262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3662
#60
11.50.4
9.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.1
33.61.1
28.129.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4030
#62
10.60.4
9.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
4180
#33
14.31.1
11.712.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4304
#49
10.60.4
8.18.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
4461
#17
11.41.1
8.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End