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Red70
368420.7
293019.2
433424.3
Blue140
339328.0
366336.1
445024.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597305010015070140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#43
24.30.7
23.624.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
36.15.0
28.733.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3684
#36
20.70.6
20.721.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
3393
#20
28.05.0
23.028.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2930
#19
19.20.4
16.917.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
4450
#21
24.15.0
19.124.1
Auto
Teleop
End