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Red30
203913.5
167517.5
130616.3
Blue22
373420.5
480414.9
173911.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572902040801001203022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#35
17.51.2
21.320.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
3734
#17
20.50.9
11.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1306
#30
16.31.9
15.613.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
4804
#47
14.90.9
9.78.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2039
#52
13.51.9
16.214.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1739
#37
11.40.9
11.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End