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Red41
206234.3
203913.5
409516.2
Blue73
40816.7
130616.3
87639.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586102040801001201404173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2062
#10
34.30.9
36.535.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
876
#3
39.10.6
37.337.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4095
#36
16.21.5
10.99.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1306
#30
16.31.0
12.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2039
#52
13.51.5
11.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
4081
#40
6.71.0
11.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End