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Red37
28308.4
465524.6
453112.1
Blue2
39409.7
173911.4
31975.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31420206080100120372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4655
#43
24.60.4
12.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
1739
#37
11.43.1
12.18.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4531
#32
12.10.4
12.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
3940
#57
9.73.1
14.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2830
#50
8.40.4
6.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
3197
#48
5.03.1
13.310.1
Auto
Teleop
End