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Red91
93032.7
235813.8
402124.2
Blue75
338117.3
70629.8
421234.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607420401001201401609175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#16
32.72.2
29.031.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
4212
#26
34.50.3
29.830.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4021
#42
24.22.2
20.823.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
706
#11
29.80.3
25.425.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2358
#51
13.82.2
12.514.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3381
#33
17.30.2
16.116.2
Auto
Teleop
End