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Red78
393616.5
26930.8
93032.7
Blue103
220230.2
206234.3
16723.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768420406010012014016078103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#16
32.70.0
31.331.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
2062
#10
34.31.0
32.833.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
269
#46
30.80.0
29.829.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2202
#15
30.21.5
27.929.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3936
#54
16.50.0
16.616.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
167
#25
23.61.5
22.023.5
Auto
Teleop
End