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Red50
179627.5
206414.8
17815.1
Blue100
23041.7
206730.2
371819.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6411405010015020025050100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
Unranked
27.51.1
33.732.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.2
230
Unranked
41.70.3
48.548.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
178
Unranked
15.11.1
19.818.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.2
2067
Unranked
30.20.3
35.335.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2064
Unranked
14.81.4
17.916.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
3718
Unranked
19.40.4
21.921.6
Auto
Teleop
End