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Red18
179627.5
2379.8
10990.4
Blue3
22828.2
206730.2
405512.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3491050150200250183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
Unranked
27.51.2
28.527.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
2067
Unranked
30.24.0
33.129.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
237
Unranked
9.81.2
14.112.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.4
228
Unranked
28.24.0
32.328.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1099
Unranked
0.41.2
0.2-1.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
4055
Unranked
12.24.0
16.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End