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Red45
17631.8
23041.7
6665.8
Blue49
18128.0
36547.7
107115.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions884901001502004549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
Unranked
41.71.8
44.642.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
181
Unranked
28.00.3
26.726.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
176
Unranked
31.81.8
34.332.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.4
1071
Unranked
15.40.3
19.419.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
666
Unranked
5.83.1
2.9-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
3654
Unranked
7.70.3
8.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End