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Red285
471928.9
433489.9
201385.3
Blue70
133463.3
518463.7
511615.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213131010030040050028570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.91.4
88.690.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.2
63.71.2
64.162.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
85.31.4
84.185.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.0
63.31.2
63.862.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4719
#17
28.91.4
27.629.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
5116
#19
15.41.2
15.914.7
Auto
Teleop
End