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Red290
201385.3
471928.9
433489.9
Blue28
460431.3
351326.6
463324.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21561010030040050029028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.91.7
85.487.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 58.6
4604
#14
31.30.9
32.331.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
85.31.7
80.882.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 58.7
3513
#16
26.60.9
27.626.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4719
#17
28.91.7
24.426.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
4633
#11
24.00.9
24.924.0
Auto
Teleop
End