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Red114
501534.4
507835.6
24449.1
Blue140
148236.5
518521.0
299444.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12794050150200250300350114140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#12
49.10.1
50.149.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
44.80.7
43.844.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5078
#26
35.60.1
36.636.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1482
#13
36.50.7
35.536.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
34.40.1
35.335.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
5185
#23
21.00.7
20.020.7
Auto
Teleop
End