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Red81
462512.0
351326.6
460431.3
Blue2
514018.1
529611.4
511810.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52450100150812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4604
#14
31.32.5
11.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
5140
#21
18.13.6
18.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3513
#16
26.62.5
28.130.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
5296
#18
11.43.6
17.714.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4625
#22
12.02.5
11.714.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
5118
#34
10.23.6
9.35.7
Auto
Teleop
End