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Red61
506420.5
507835.6
213051.4
Blue90
169520.7
471928.9
449729.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654301001506190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.0
34.334.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.3
4497
#15
29.13.6
17.320.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5078
#26
35.60.0
18.418.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
4719
#17
28.93.6
11.114.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5064
#29
20.50.0
8.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1695
#20
20.73.6
18.021.7
Auto
Teleop
End