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Red235
471928.9
506420.5
314572.3
Blue25
462722.1
40100.7
24449.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6159010015020023525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.314.5
37.451.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.2
244
#12
49.11.7
39.237.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4719
#17
28.914.5
14.829.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
4627
#25
22.11.7
21.119.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5064
#29
20.514.5
8.523.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.8
4010
#31
0.71.7
-0.9-2.7
Auto
Teleop
End