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Red172
501534.4
351326.6
201385.3
Blue46
473313.5
449729.1
462722.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14660010020025030035040017246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.31.9
73.175.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 56.2
4497
#15
29.12.2
28.926.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
34.43.0
31.935.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
4627
#25
22.11.4
20.419.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3513
#16
26.63.0
28.031.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
4733
#27
13.52.2
24.422.2
Auto
Teleop
End