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Qual 462014 Western Canada Regional
Red145
471928.9
529215.7
213051.4
Blue115
21631.3
462512.0
433489.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79118050100150200250300350145115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2130
#9
51.44.6
39.8→44.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 38.5
4334
#1
89.90.2
68.1→68.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4719
#17
28.94.6
24.7→29.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.4
216
#7
31.30.2
30.4→30.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5292
#32
15.74.6
21.0→25.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.7
4625
#22
12.00.2
13.5→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—