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Red23
473313.5
475123.5
462512.0
Blue61
529215.7
463324.0
529611.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706602040801001201401602361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4751
#30
23.53.1
33.330.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
4633
#11
24.00.4
28.528.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4733
#27
13.53.1
22.519.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
5292
#32
15.70.4
22.622.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4625
#22
12.03.1
14.110.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
5296
#18
11.40.4
15.915.5
Auto
Teleop
End