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Red82
213051.4
518521.0
501534.4
Blue165
433489.9
518463.7
506420.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88156020030040082165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.41.1
46.645.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 38.5
89.91.0
71.372.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
34.41.1
32.030.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.3
63.71.3
49.450.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5185
#23
21.01.1
20.319.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
5064
#29
20.51.3
24.425.7
Auto
Teleop
End