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Red33
351326.6
529215.7
169520.7
Blue130
314572.3
213051.4
529611.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4379010015020025033130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3513
#16
26.61.3
14.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 45.7
72.34.7
27.532.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1695
#20
20.71.3
20.218.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.7
51.44.7
32.136.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5292
#32
15.73.0
15.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
5296
#18
11.47.3
11.418.7
Auto
Teleop
End