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Red59
321625.9
463324.0
21631.3
Blue21
462722.1
511615.4
529611.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914401502002505921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#7
31.31.2
28.126.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
4627
#25
22.11.5
19.117.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3216
#28
25.91.5
27.626.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
5116
#19
15.41.8
16.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4633
#11
24.01.5
28.126.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
5296
#18
11.41.8
15.513.7
Auto
Teleop
End