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Red86
54857.8
504123.9
529933.6
Blue107
449940.3
528828.3
153872.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95137020030040050086107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#64
57.80.8
51.450.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.4
1538
#28
72.21.2
70.869.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5299
#74
33.60.8
32.631.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
4499
#83
40.31.2
40.939.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5041
#60
23.90.8
17.616.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
5288
#58
28.31.2
18.817.6
Auto
Teleop
End