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Red206
401338.6
206774.6
349242.4
Blue106
147773.4
51347.7
492524.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148104050200250300350400206106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#15
74.63.3
75.078.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1477
#31
73.40.2
75.375.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3492
#32
42.43.3
36.139.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.1
4925
#81
24.20.2
25.825.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4013
#55
38.63.3
29.933.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.9
5134
#99
7.70.2
9.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End