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Red176
52734.9
395937.7
426576.0
Blue205
39983.5
453124.2
17565.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311620100200300400176205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#38
76.02.0
67.869.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
399
#1
83.52.4
77.479.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3959
#98
37.72.0
36.138.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.7
175
#40
65.52.4
62.364.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
527
#85
34.92.0
31.933.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
4531
#61
24.22.4
17.720.1
Auto
Teleop
End