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Red142
477846.5
453124.2
166250.6
Blue125
206774.6
512318.1
399738.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011350200300400142125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
#34
50.61.8
45.847.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.9
2067
#15
74.60.2
78.278.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4778
#41
46.51.8
40.442.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
3997
#76
38.90.2
37.637.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4531
#61
24.21.8
20.121.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
5123
#84
18.10.2
13.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End