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Red181
219847.8
529933.6
63951.6
Blue170
37859.7
492524.2
295977.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101700200300400181170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#12
51.63.1
46.449.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.0
2959
#30
77.50.4
79.579.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2198
#46
47.83.1
41.444.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
378
#26
59.70.4
56.156.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5299
#74
33.63.1
31.434.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
4925
#81
24.20.4
25.626.1
Auto
Teleop
End