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Red186
395937.7
48444.6
153872.2
Blue205
3391.6
401338.6
42239.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148154050100200250300350186205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#28
72.21.9
64.766.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.3
33
#8
91.62.6
82.885.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
484
#79
44.61.9
46.047.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
422
#22
39.52.6
37.039.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3959
#98
37.71.9
38.140.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
4013
#55
38.62.6
33.135.7
Auto
Teleop
End