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Red120
250020.3
429640.6
63951.6
Blue115
181664.7
470732.2
501930.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100129050150200250300350400120115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#12
51.60.8
49.550.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.1
1816
#35
64.70.5
62.562.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4296
#21
40.60.8
37.137.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
4707
#93
32.20.5
33.733.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2500
#62
20.30.8
18.118.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
5019
#67
30.30.5
28.427.9
Auto
Teleop
End