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Red236
19591.5
519637.1
361632.9
Blue132
48444.6
493060.8
220246.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145166050100200250300350400236132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#45
91.54.4
91.295.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.7
4930
#54
60.81.6
63.962.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5196
#42
37.14.4
29.533.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
2202
#27
46.71.6
51.249.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3616
#63
32.94.4
27.531.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
484
#79
44.61.6
47.946.3
Auto
Teleop
End