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Red103
395937.7
219847.8
217578.5
Blue168
31960.5
283448.3
154049.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16915550100200250300350103168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#18
78.53.2
82.879.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
319
#49
60.50.5
59.960.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2198
#46
47.83.2
44.541.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1540
#57
49.50.5
50.851.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3959
#98
37.73.2
40.036.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
2834
#37
48.30.5
46.847.4
Auto
Teleop
End