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Red179
153872.2
50368.0
519637.1
Blue165
51347.7
167168.5
426576.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158127050100200250300350400179165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#28
72.21.3
68.669.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
4265
#38
76.01.6
62.263.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
503
#10
68.01.3
61.362.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1671
#53
68.51.6
63.765.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5196
#42
37.11.3
23.825.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.5
5134
#99
7.71.6
6.27.9
Auto
Teleop
End