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Red137
151971.7
283448.3
512318.1
Blue123
108636.9
32962.0
19591.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107189050150250300350400137123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#14
71.70.9
65.766.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.8
195
#45
91.52.7
89.987.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2834
#37
48.30.9
47.748.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.6
329
#29
62.02.7
50.147.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5123
#84
18.11.1
6.07.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.8
1086
#82
36.92.7
36.533.9
Auto
Teleop
End