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Red33
22931.7
154049.5
193939.0
Blue87
297833.5
491166.6
33462.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941680501502002503003504003387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#57
49.53.6
50.346.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.1
4911
#19
66.63.5
67.964.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1939
#89
39.03.6
37.934.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.7
334
#25
62.73.5
54.451.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
229
#87
31.73.6
17.413.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2978
#73
33.53.5
33.930.4
Auto
Teleop
End