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Red157
166250.6
494658.3
255760.7
Blue95
458325.0
395937.7
321141.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16171010020030040015795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#39
60.70.5
53.453.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.9
3211
#72
41.80.5
31.632.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4946
#33
58.30.5
52.152.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.6
3959
#98
37.70.5
30.931.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1662
#34
50.60.5
41.341.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.7
4583
#59
25.00.5
22.122.6
Auto
Teleop
End