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Qual 362014 Archimedes Division
Red170
361632.9
470732.2
477846.5
Blue11
504123.9
335413.4
492524.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9355015020025030035040017011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4778
#41
46.54.6
33.8→38.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.3
4925
#81
24.22.5
21.8→19.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3616
#63
32.94.1
20.0→24.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.0
5041
#60
23.92.5
18.9→16.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4707
#93
32.24.1
33.2→37.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.8
3354
#100
13.42.5
20.4→17.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—