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Red200
407770.0
295977.5
31960.5
Blue115
22931.7
191885.3
321141.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2071110300400500200115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#30
77.50.4
81.581.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
1918
#50
85.30.5
79.979.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
70.00.4
55.255.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.2
3211
#72
41.80.5
32.131.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
319
#49
60.50.4
55.255.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.8
229
#87
31.70.5
13.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End