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Red114
283448.3
48444.6
90065.9
Blue165
458325.0
265552.7
17565.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153121050100200250300350400114165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#52
65.91.7
52.751.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
175
#40
65.52.0
64.866.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2834
#37
48.31.7
48.646.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
2655
#36
52.72.0
38.640.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
484
#79
44.61.7
46.644.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.7
4583
#59
25.02.0
22.624.6
Auto
Teleop
End