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Red161
42239.5
315863.3
167168.5
Blue68
217578.5
528828.3
352556.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145155010020030040016168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#53
68.50.7
65.466.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
2175
#18
78.54.3
78.574.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3158
#13
63.30.7
52.653.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
3525
#90
56.44.3
61.457.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
422
#22
39.50.7
29.029.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
5288
#58
28.34.3
13.89.5
Auto
Teleop
End