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Red202
529933.6
470732.2
220246.7
Blue139
108968.1
494658.3
401338.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93145050200250300202139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#27
46.75.1
43.548.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.5
1089
#16
68.10.1
58.758.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5299
#74
33.66.2
29.535.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.7
4946
#33
58.30.1
52.052.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4707
#93
32.26.2
27.834.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
4013
#55
38.60.1
26.326.4
Auto
Teleop
End