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Red96
257621.5
495025.3
259094.5
Blue192
339375.2
494658.3
63951.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11417405015020025030035096192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.51.4
83.782.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.3
75.21.3
70.171.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4950
#71
25.31.4
19.718.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 32.9
4946
#33
58.31.3
52.654.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2576
#88
21.51.4
20.318.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.0
639
#12
51.61.3
42.543.8
Auto
Teleop
End